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A range shift model was built and simulated up on a Swedish landscape according to climate scenario RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The population dynamics imitated Pyrgus armoricanus and the its dependabilityon its environment.The dispersal probability kernel was parametized with Bayesian inference using a Metropolis-Hastings MCMC.

Responsible for this page: Agneta Johansson
Last updated: 04/27/17